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Hybrid Threats and the Intelligence Community: Priming for a Volatile Age
Swedish Defence University, Department of War Studies, Land Operations Division. Department of War Studies and the Centre for Societal Security, Swedish Defence University. (Hybrid Threats Research Group (HTRG))ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3339-3536
Swedish Defence University, Department of Systems Science for Defence and Security. (Hybrid Threats Research Group (HTRG))ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5426-8238
Psychological Defence Research Institute, Lund University. (Hybrid Threats Research Group (HTRG))
2025 (English)In: The international journal of intelligenca and counter intelligence, ISSN 0885-0607, E-ISSN 1521-0561, p. 1-23Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

A specific set of challenges facing the intelligence community in a contemporary environment is characterized by composite and dynamic hybrid threats. An understanding of the reciprocal interaction is required between the intelligence actors responsible for intelligence analysis and dissemination, and key societal actors responsible for crafting responses to hybrid threats and building societal resilience. Three processes are identified as critical for the intelligence community’s ability to proactively counter hybrid threats: intelligence analysis; aggregation and communication of intelligence; and reception and absorption of intelligence among key societal actors. The interconnections between these areas are visualized in the Intelligence Analysis Interaction Model, intending to provide a framework for understanding the dynamics of hybrid threats and their evolution over time, and the intelligence community’s interactive engagement with societal actors aiming to counter hybrid threats and build resilience. The framework contributes to improved tools for identifying and analyzing the nexus between threats and vulnerabilities, building resilience, and devising whole-of-society responses to hybrid threats.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. p. 1-23
Keywords [en]
Hybrid threats, Intelligence community, Whole-of-society approach, Intelligence analysis, Strategic communication, Resilience building, Aggregated intelligence, Warning intelligence, Cybersecurity, Disinformation campaigns, Non-kinetic tools, Grey zone warfare, Vulnerability assessment, Asymmetric conflict, Cross-sectoral resilience, Intelligence dissemination, Countering hybrid warfare, Intelligence co-production, Multivector threats, Security challenges
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies) Peace and Conflict Studies Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Research subject
Systems science for defence and security
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-13444DOI: 10.1080/08850607.2024.2435265OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-13444DiVA, id: diva2:1931851
Available from: 2025-01-28 Created: 2025-01-28 Last updated: 2025-09-29

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Nilsson, NiklasWeissmann, Mikael

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Land Operations DivisionDepartment of Systems Science for Defence and Security
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The international journal of intelligenca and counter intelligence
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalisation Studies)Peace and Conflict StudiesOther Social Sciences not elsewhere specified

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