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Osäkerhetens påverkan på initiativförmåga: Konsten att balansera agilitet och legitimitet vid nationella säkerhetsoperationer
Swedish Defence University.
2026 (Swedish)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis examines military decision-making under uncertainty in the context of hybrid threats and counterintelligence operations conducted by the Swedish Armed Forces. The study analyses how uncertainty, agility and legitimacy interact in decision-making processes to enable initiative. Empirical data were collected through field observations and focus group interviews and analysed through reflexive thematic analysis, guided by a theoretical framework based on Boyd’s OODA-loop. Findings indicate that military commanders seek to exercise agility under conditions of legal ambiguity, time pressure and potential risks to organisational reputation. Organisational agility and the prevailing culture are not perceived to promote or reward initiative. Initiative and individual agility can be enhanced when acceptance of uncertainty is seen as inherent to decision-making and when legal conditions are understood as enablers rather than obstacles. The study contributes an empirically grounded theoretical framework for decision-making under uncertainty and advances understanding of military decision-making in complex operational environments.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2026. , p. 51
Keywords [sv]
beslutsfattning, militära beslutsfattare, nationell säkerhetsoperation, osäkerhet, agilitet, legitimitet, initiativförmåga, OODA-loop, tematisk analys
National Category
Other Social Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-14645OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-14645DiVA, id: diva2:2050581
Subject / course
War Studies, Thesis
Educational program
Högre officersprogrammet (HOP)
Uppsok
Social and Behavioural Science, Law
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2026-04-07 Created: 2026-04-02 Last updated: 2026-04-07Bibliographically approved

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2021222324252623 of 58
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf