Logo: to the web site of the Swedish Defence University

fhs.se
System disruptions
We are currently experiencing disruptions on the search portals due to high traffic. We are working to resolve the issue, you may temporarily encounter an error message.
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
The use of simulations in economic cybersecurity decision-making
Department of Information Security and Communication Technology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology , Trondheim, Norway, (NOR); RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Kista, Sweden, (SWE).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2804-4630
Swedish Defence University, Department of Systems Science for Defence and Security, Systems Science for Defence and Security Division. RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Kista, Sweden; KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2017-7914
2025 (English)In: Journal of Cybersecurity, ISSN 2057-2085, Vol. 11, no 1Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents an in-depth examination of the use of simulations in economic cybersecurity decision-making, highlighting the dual nature of their potential and the challenges they present. Drawing on examples from existing studies, we explore the role of simulations in generating new knowledge about probabilities and consequences in the cybersecurity domain, which is essential in understanding and managing risk and uncertainty. Additionally, we introduce the concepts of “bookkeeping” and “abstraction” within the context of simulations, discussing how they can sometimes fail and exploring the underlying reasons for their failures. This discussion leads us to suggest a framework of considerations for effectively utilizing simulations in cybersecurity. This framework is designed not as a rigid checklist but as a guide for critical thinking and evaluation, aiding users in assessing the suitability and reliability of a simulation model for a particular decision-making context. Future work should focus on applying this framework in real-world settings, continuously refining the use of simulations to ensure they remain effective and relevant in the dynamic field of cybersecurity.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. Vol. 11, no 1
Keywords [en]
simulations, economics, decision-making under risk, decision-making under uncertainty, bias
National Category
Computer and Information Sciences Economics and Business
Research subject
Systems science for defence and security
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-13499DOI: 10.1093/cybsec/tyaf003OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-13499DiVA, id: diva2:1937702
Funder
Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research, SM22-0057Available from: 2025-02-14 Created: 2025-02-14 Last updated: 2025-02-17Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(712 kB)21 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 712 kBChecksum SHA-512
4a0918fc48acac86d73b0b562b1bb22a0106624ebdb14e51be6605a5b429449bcfa2aab215725b6ebaf4f91f4a54dc983c164bd3d6b929f793fea6c2973d77a7
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full text

Authority records

Franke, Ulrik

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Kianpour, MazaherFranke, Ulrik
By organisation
Systems Science for Defence and Security Division
Computer and Information SciencesEconomics and Business

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 21 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 329 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf