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Minilateralism Matters More?: Exploring Opportunities to End Climate Negotiations Gridlock
Swedish National Defence College, Department of Security, Strategy and Leadership (ISSL), Political Science Section.
2015 (English)In: Global Affairs, ISSN 2334-0460, E-ISSN 2334-0479, Vol. 1, no 4-5, 399-410 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Multilateral negotiations to reach a universal, binding international agreement on measures that curb greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have repeatedly failed since a scientific consensus on global warming formed in the late 1970s. The 1997 Kyoto Protocol was famously never ratified by the United States, the biggest emitter, and the 2009 Copenhagen conference only produced a narrow deal between the USA, China, India, Brazil and South Africa. Numerous attempts to involve international financial institutions or the G7/G8 have also been unsuccessful. Given the present crisis of multilateralism it can be argued that the time is ripe to engage fully in minilateral climate diplomacy, conferring ownership of the process to the main stakeholders. An informally orchestrated, minilateral diplomacy based on rationalist insights from conventional game and negotiation theory would then sway polluters to press ahead with measures that mitigate and adapt to the anticipated repercussions of climate change. Only after a political deal has been struck between major stakeholders may opportunities arise for ex post authorization and agenda control mechanisms involving the wider international community.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2015. Vol. 1, no 4-5, 399-410 p.
Keyword [en]
climate negotiations, diplomacy, minilateralism, multilateralism, UNFCCC
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Statsvetenskap med inriktning mot strategi och säkerhetspolitik
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-5578DOI: 10.1080/23340460.2015.1077607OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-5578DiVA: diva2:859062
Available from: 2015-10-05 Created: 2015-10-05 Last updated: 2016-05-09Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
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