Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Strategic Surprise in the Ukraine Crisis: Agendas, expectations and organizational dynamics in the EU Eastern Partnership until the annexation of Crimea 2014
Swedish National Defence College.
2014 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis deals with the problem of how to understand and explain strategic surprise in relation to the crisis in Ukraine 2013-2014. It describes the events that triggered surprise and identifies the EU Vilnius Summit, the Maidan square massacre and the annexation of Crimea as focus points. Using a theoretical framework based on surprise theory, the thesis examines the agenda of the EU Eastern Partnership, the psychology of Foreign Ministers Carl Bildt and Radek Sikorski before the identified focus points, and the organizational dynamics of the European Council throughout the crisis. The conclusion is that the Eastern Partnership agenda provided a toolbox with limited usability in a crisis, that the overconfidence of Bildt and Sikorski meant they failed in turning registered warning signs into a rethinking of policy, and that procrastination by the European Council led to a reactionary pattern that contributed to recurring surprises.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2014. , 83 p.
Keyword [en]
Ukraine crisis, Eastern partnership, surprise theory, warning-response problem
National Category
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalization Studies)
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-4867OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-4867DiVA: diva2:743025
Subject / course
Statsvetenskap med inriktning mot säkerhetspolitik
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2014-09-08 Created: 2014-09-03 Last updated: 2014-09-08Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

By organisation
Swedish National Defence College
Political Science (excluding Public Administration Studies and Globalization Studies)

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

Total: 337 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf