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Exploring Why Police and Military Commanders Do What They Do: An Empirical Analysis of Decision-Making in Hybrid Warfare
Royal Norwegian Naval Academy, Norwegian Defense University College, Laksevåg (NOR).
Swedish Defence University, Institutionen för ledarskap och ledning, Leadership and Command & Control Division Stockholm.
Center for Crisis Psychology, Faculty of Psychology, University of Bergen (NOR).
Department of Psychosocial Science, Faculty of Psychology, University of Bergen (NOR).
2024 (English)In: Armed forces and society, ISSN 0095-327X, E-ISSN 1556-0848, Vol. 50, no 4, p. 1218-1244Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this study, a total of 102 high-ranking commanders from a military and police background were included in a simulation involving hybrid attacks on Norway. The aim was to explore the commanders’ decision-making in the context of hybrid warfare and changing threats. Data were collected in a simulated national headquarters and analyzed by a multinominal logistic regression method using a scenario that transformed from peacetime into war and returned to peace. The results demonstrated significant differences in the commanders’ preferences for unilateral or interagency forces depending on whether decisions were made in peacetime, war or the post-conflict phase. The results also showed how the commanders’ level of operational experience was associated with an increased preference for interagency forces. The current findings are new empirical insights into a thus far neglected aspect of decision-making research and have implications for improving police-military interoperability in major security crises.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. Vol. 50, no 4, p. 1218-1244
Keywords [en]
Norway, hybrid warfare, homeland defense, decision-making, phase transitions, police-military interoperability, social cognitive theory
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Leadership and Command & Control
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-11553DOI: 10.1177/0095327X231160711OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-11553DiVA, id: diva2:1761332
Available from: 2023-06-01 Created: 2023-06-01 Last updated: 2024-09-13Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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  • apa
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
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  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf