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Nu har den första drönarsvärmen anfallit - betyder det något?
Swedish Defence University.
2018 (Swedish)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Now the first swarm of drones has attacked - does it mean anything? (English)
Abstract [sv]

I inbördeskriget i Syrien slåss flera svaga oppositionsgrupper mot den ryskstödda regimen. I januari 2018 angreps en rysk flygbas och hamn i Syrien. Det var första gången en svärm av små billiga drönare utförde långräckviddiga och kraftsamlade precisionsattacker. En utforskande fallstudie använder teorier om förändring och överraskning för att upptäcka mönster från händelsen. Syftet var att se om detta fall kan identifiera några aspekter gällande asymmetrier i krigföringens spelrum som kan vara till nytta i första hand i en svensk kontext.  Resultatet visar att händelsen var disruptiv men inte överraskande, snarare väntad. Om fienden med disruptiv teknologi förändrar sina medel och metoder avseende prestanda, numerär och kostnader finns en möjlighet att utnyttja asymmetrier i spelrummet.

Abstract [en]

In the civil war in Syria numerous weak groups fought the Russian-supported regime. In January 2018 a Russian air base and port in Syria were attacked. It was the first time that swarms of small cheap drones carried out long-range and concentrated precision attacks. An exploratory case study uses theories of change and surprise to detect patterns from the event. The purpose was to see if this case can identify any aspects of asymmetries in the arena of warfare which may be useful primarily in a Swedish context.  The results show that the event was disruptive, but was expected, rather than surprising. If the enemy use disruptive technology to change their means and methods, in terms of performance, numbers and costs, there is an opportunity to exploit asymmetries in the arena of war.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. , p. 52
Keywords [en]
drone, swarm, disruptive, asymmetric cost, UAV, asymmetry
Keywords [sv]
drönare, svärm, disruptiv, kostnadsgap, UAV, asymmetri
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-7552OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-7552DiVA, id: diva2:1217034
Subject / course
Militärteknik, självständigt arbete
Educational program
Högre stabsofficersutbildning med teknisk inriktning (HSU T)
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2018-06-13 Created: 2018-06-12 Last updated: 2018-06-13Bibliographically approved

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