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Because 🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺 happens: Överraskning och närområde under Ukrainakrisen
Swedish Defence University.
2017 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis concerns the puzzling question of why Swedish policy makers were surprised by the Ukraine crisis, despite multiple warnings being present. It aims to understand what was so surprising and to explain the effect of the surprise, the foreign, security, and defense policy U-turn. In order to understand this puzzle the thesis uses a framework based on strategic surprise theory from the victims perspective and concludes that surprise theory alone cannot explain the effect of the Ukraine crisis and thus leaves the research puzzle unanswered. By adding to the theory the concept of cognitive vicinity an answer to the research question is brought to light. The surprise lies in the realization of worrying similarities, a distinct feeling of proximity, in the circumstances surrounding Ukraine and Sweden. It became evident that if it could happen to Ukraine, something similar could happen to us. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2017. , p. 34
Keywords [en]
Ukraine crisis, Sweden, Surprise theory, Russia, Strategic surprise, Cognitive vicinity
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-7262OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-7262DiVA, id: diva2:1180089
Subject / course
Political Science with focus on crisis management and security
Educational program
Kandidatprogrammet
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2018-02-20 Created: 2018-02-04 Last updated: 2018-02-20Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard-cite-them-right
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf