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Intelligence and Diplomacy in the Security Dilemma: Gauging Capabilities and Intentions
Swedish Defence University, Department of Military Studies, Tactical Warfare Division, Air Operations Section.
2018 (English)In: International Politics, ISSN 1384-5748, E-ISSN 1740-3898, Vol. 55, no 5, p. 519-536Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Determining whether the opposition is benign or malign is central to the security dilemma. In this context, states have to decide whether the military capabilities of others are for defensive or offensive purposes. Despite the importance of this issue, states’ use of intelligence and diplomacy to gauge others’ capabilities and intentions and its implications for exacerbating, ameliorating and escaping the security dilemma have hardly been addressed. The few who have engaged with the topic have only done so superficially. This article engages with the subject matter at length and argues that both intelligence and diplomacy are double-edged swords in the security dilemma. Intelligence is particularly useful in attaining information regarding the capabilities of others and diplomacy is of great value in acquiring information about their intentions. Yet, they are both prone to error. The best prospects of mitigating and escaping the security dilemma are therefore by utilizing intelligence to gauge others’ capabilities and diplomacy to decipher their intentions, even though these efforts may instead end up aggravating the security dilemma dynamics due to mistakes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
International Politics , 2018. Vol. 55, no 5, p. 519-536
Keywords [sv]
The security dilemma, intelligence, diplomacy, capabilities, intentions
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Krigsvetenskap
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-7205DOI: 10.1057/s41311-017-0119-8OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-7205DiVA, id: diva2:1172888
Available from: 2018-01-11 Created: 2018-01-11 Last updated: 2018-10-11Bibliographically approved

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Publisher's full texthttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1057%2Fs41311-017-0119-8

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Heydarian Pashakhanlou, Arash

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