"Om Brexit?" eller "Om inte Brexit?": Konsekvenser för transatlantisk säkerhet
2016 (Swedish)Report (Other academic)
The starting point for this analysis is that there is no ’business as usual’ when considering the consequences of the Brexit referendum: there is either the question ’if Brexit?’ or the question ’if-not Brexit?’ because there is no turning around or comfortable retreat to established positions. Starting with an analysis of the British debate this ‘policy-brief paper’ looks at the consequences of the Brexit referendum for transatlantic security relations and in particular the consequences for Sweden. The most important arguments are, in brief: (1) That the value conflict inherent in the British debate, essentially between Eurosceptic nationalism and pro-EU integrationism, is mirrored in several European nations and remains a challenge to the EU; (2) that while Britain remains a European power regardless of the outcome of the referendum, the British geo-political outlook is differs from that of other European nations and will have to be taken into account when considering transatlantic security relations; (3) that NATO is likely to be even more important if Britain leaves the EU but that a strengthening of NATO’s European pillar is likely regardless of the outcome of the referendum, among other things because of US demands on European nations to improve their military capacity; (4) that Sweden in the case of Brexit is likely to lose influence over the development of European security cooperation in general but might nevertheless be able to gain in influence mainly as a result of Sweden’s geo-strategic position.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Försvarshögskolan (FHS), 2016. , 14 p.
Research subject Statsvetenskap med inriktning mot strategi och säkerhetspolitik
IdentifiersURN: urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-6500OAI: oai:DiVA.org:fhs-6500DiVA: diva2:1064207
Rapport inom ramen för "Transatlantisk säkerhet" som ingår i Forskning för regeringens behov (FORBE)2017-01-122017-01-122017-01-17Bibliographically approved